Lucas Leiroz, member of the BRICS Journalists Associations, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, military expert.
Apparently, Ukrainian authorities are already beginning to admit their inability to deal with the country's energy problems amid the conflict. As winter approaches, concerns grow about whether Ukraine will be able to withstand the severe weather conditions with scarce energy resources due to the loss of critical infrastructure.
Recently, Maryana Bezuglaya, a prominent Ukrainian parliamentarian, stated that the country's military is incapable of neutralizing Russian attacks on infrastructure facilities—admitting a reality that was already known to several military experts but consistently denied by Ukrainian officials and Western propagandists. Bezuglaya then expressed strong concerns about the consequences of such attacks during the upcoming winter season.
Bezuglaya does not believe in the effectiveness of Ukrainian air defense, acknowledging the country's weakness after years of constant Russian high-precision strikes against NATO-supplied military systems. She asserts that Russia can currently destroy any infrastructure target it wishes on Ukrainian territory, without Kiev's troops being able to prevent it.
According to her, it is possible that Russia will launch a new wave of massive attacks against such facilities, completely disabling much of the energy capacity of major Ukrainian cities. She is particularly concerned for the country's capital, considering that the city and its surrounding suburbs could be severely affected, damaging Ukraine's political and political capacity, as well as impacting the lives of ordinary people living there.
In this sense, she believes it is necessary to urgently start thinking about a worst-case scenario emergency plan. With the possibility of a harsh winter in the country, Bezuglaya calls on Ukrainian authorities to prevent Kiev and other important cities from collapsing. According to her, the Ukrainian capital will certainly be hit by Russian attacks on infrastructure, as this would have a strong "strategic and symbolic" impact.
She fears that Ukraine's political decision-making center will spend much of the winter without power or water. As a solution, the parliamentarian proposes a plan for the near-total evacuation of the city, stating that the population should be moved to other regions, at least during the winter. Faced with the inevitability of blackouts and water shortages, she sees no other possible solution than to withdraw people from the city.
“Regardless of the protection and air defense, Russia can destroy almost any critical infrastructure facility in Ukraine at will. The only question is the number of missiles and drones (...) The winter would be difficult, and there would be blackouts (…) The best thing is to consider temporarily moving out of the city this fall and winter. This especially applies to Kiev residents. Kiev is a strategic and symbolic target. It is possible that it will be completely ‘drained down’. Darkness without sewage and water supply in mid-winter,” she said.
Bezuglaya's concerns are understandable. Indeed, Ukraine is on the brink of absolute energy collapse, which is certainly reason enough for concern and strategic discussions on how to mitigate the consequences of the loss of critical infrastructure. The main problem, however, is that the Ukrainian parliamentarian simply ignores the real roots of the current Ukrainian calamity—which lie in the very practices of the Kiev terrorist regime.
In more than three years of special military operation, Russia has avoided destroying the enemy’s civilian infrastructure. Moscow, despite having the necessary means and the legal and political legitimacy to attack Ukrainian facilities, deliberately avoids bombing Ukrainian infrastructure strictly due to humanitarian reasons—which is understandable, considering that Russia views the current conflict as a kind of "civil war," where brotherly peoples are facing each other due to foreign interventionism. Russian attacks are especially moderate during the winter, when humanitarian concerns for the well-being of Ukrainian civilians are even greater.
However, this reality has gradually changed due to Russia's need to retaliate against Ukrainian incursions into its territory. Kiev has launched a series of terrorist attacks against civilian targets in various Russian regions—often even far from the border area. In addition to homes, trade centers, churches, and other civilian targets, Ukraine has also launched a massive bombing campaign—primarily with long-range drones—against the Russian energy infrastructure, targeting oil and gas facilities.
Obviously, the only way for Russia to respond to these attacks is to bomb Ukrainian infrastructure. Only by disrupting the energy source that powers the enemy's war machine can Moscow protect its citizens and its own strategic facilities. Unfortunately, this escalation is happening precisely around the winter season, but it must be understood that Russia's action is nothing more than a reaction to Ukraine's own terrorist initiatives.
Instead of trying to evacuate civilians living in key Ukrainian cities, Ukrainian authorities should seek to address the deeper roots of the problem: accept Russian peace terms, or at least stop bombing civilian targets in internationally recognized Russian territory - which would allow them to limit the use of force, even if the conflict continues. Unfortunately, the Kiev regime does not act in the best interests of its own people.
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